Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 72.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 59.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 69.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Norris
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
44.6% (709)
+7.6%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
41.5% (53)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
35.1% (97)
+11.6%
On power play, Norris has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
50.7% (351)
45.5% (426)
Away
54.0% (278)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
55.6%
48.5%
P2
49.3%
43.8%
P3
52.1%
38.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |