Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Norris
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
44.9% (642)
+5.1%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
47.9% (94)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (33)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
47.2% (193)
46.0% (391)
Away
51.6% (246)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
53.8%
48.1%
P2
48.2%
44.9%
P3
47.9%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%