Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Thompson 43.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 95.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 88.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Norris
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
41.9% (597)
+11.7%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.5% (95)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
25.0% (12)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
53.6% (373)
47.1% (367)
Away
54.1% (394)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
61.8%
44.2%
P2
51.7%
41.6%
P3
49.8%
42.9%
OT
27.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |