Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Thompson 42.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 91.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 91.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 90.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Norris
Thompson
Last 10: Norris 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
7
0
Norris
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
42.9% (3,521)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
46.8% (372)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
33.6% (265)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
53.1% (1,856)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
55.6%
44.5%
P2
51.4%
43.6%
P3
50.1%
40.2%
OT
40.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |