Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Novak 45.6% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 61.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Norris
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
43.8% (384)
+20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.8% (17)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
100.0% (1)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Norris
Novak
Home
62.2% (37)
46.5% (202)
Away
50.0% (20)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Norris
Novak
P1
64.3%
49.2%
P2
59.1%
44.2%
P3
52.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%