Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 76.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 57.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Norris
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Norris
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
42.9% (198)
+10.7%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
40.9% (22)
+15.1%
On power play, Norris has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Norris
Novak
Home
53.6% (373)
40.9% (110)
Away
54.1% (394)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Norris
Novak
P1
61.8%
39.1%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
49.8%
44.9%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |