Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 57.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 81.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 73.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Norris
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Norris
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
40.7% (460)
+11.5%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
61.5% (39)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
0.0% (1)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Norris
Novak
Home
50.7% (351)
47.0% (236)
Away
54.0% (278)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Norris
Novak
P1
55.6%
43.1%
P2
49.3%
43.1%
P3
52.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |