Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.7% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Dowling 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 67.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dowling
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
49.3% (789)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
56.9% (181)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowling is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Dowling shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Dowling
Stamkos
Home
41.7% (12)
52.0% (512)
Away
57.1% (28)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Dowling
Stamkos
P1
42.9%
42.1%
P2
60.0%
56.4%
P3
50.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
72.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%