Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +25.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 47.8% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-25.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 73.3%
Defensive zone
Dowling 68.9%
Neutral zone
Dowling 71.0%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Dowling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dowling
Stamkos
Last 5: Dowling 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Dowling
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Dowling
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
55.9% (499)
-22.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.3% (126)
-56.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowling is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Dowling shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
By Period
Dowling
Stamkos
P1
33.3%
57.0%
P2
0.0%
59.2%
P3
60.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
30.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |