Justin Dowling vs Steven Stamkos

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-22.4%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 60.1%
Defensive zone Dowling 65.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 56.9%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Dowling Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
56.1% (342)
-22.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +22.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Dowling shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Dowling
Stamkos
Home
100.0% (1)
53.4% (208)
Away
0.0% (2)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Dowling
Stamkos
P1
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
55.7%