Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 46.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (-16.0%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 76.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kolesar
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
30.4% (23)
49.2% (307)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.2% (56)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Kolesar has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kolesar is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Kolesar shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Carrick
Home
33.3% (18)
50.3% (175)
Away
33.3% (6)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Kolesar
Carrick
P1
12.5%
41.0%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
33.3%
55.3%
Final 5 min
80.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%