Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 48.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-12.8%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 72.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Kolesar
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (24)
55.1% (439)
-13.4%
On even strength, Carrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kolesar is 75.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kolesar shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Carrick
Home
35.7% (14)
58.2% (225)
Away
50.0% (10)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Kolesar
Carrick
P1
53.8%
56.7%
P2
28.6%
52.8%
P3
25.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%