Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 47.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-20.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 57.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 91.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 77.9%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kolesar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kolesar
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
1
0
Kolesar
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (18)
53.8% (654)
-20.5%
On even strength, Carrick has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kolesar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kolesar shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Carrick
Home
30.0% (10)
50.0% (328)
Away
37.5% (8)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Kolesar
Carrick
P1
14.3%
56.7%
P2
40.0%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
33.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |