Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 48.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (-13.4%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 69.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kolesar
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (12)
53.9% (521)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.5% (229)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kolesar is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Kolesar shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Carrick
Home
40.0% (5)
52.7% (408)
Away
40.0% (10)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Kolesar
Carrick
P1
33.3%
51.4%
P2
33.3%
56.6%
P3
66.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
75.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%