Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Hayes 50.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 86.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 79.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Cizikas
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Hayes
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cizikas
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
50.4% (850)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
56.4% (39)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
50.2% (223)
-1.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Cizikas shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hayes
Home
55.1% (448)
50.0% (586)
Away
51.0% (443)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Cizikas
Hayes
P1
51.7%
52.3%
P2
53.1%
52.3%
P3
54.5%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |