Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 42.8% vs Hayes 49.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 78.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Last 10: Kuznetsov 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
5
Kuznetsov
Hayes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (471)
48.7% (394)
-7.3%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
61.2% (49)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
34.3% (35)
-9.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kuznetsov is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hayes
Home
43.0% (223)
50.6% (237)
Away
40.0% (270)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hayes
P1
37.3%
43.9%
P2
40.2%
47.3%
P3
48.9%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |