Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Stenlund 44.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Hayes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
Stenlund
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Hayes
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
40.0% (125)
+11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Hayes has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Stenlund is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stenlund
Home
52.0% (404)
41.9% (62)
Away
48.6% (422)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Hayes
Stenlund
P1
50.7%
54.8%
P2
50.2%
17.8%
P3
49.8%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |