Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 63.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Hayes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
56.1% (615)
-24.2%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
53.2% (47)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.1% (307)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stenlund
Home
30.6% (49)
57.0% (458)
Away
40.4% (57)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Hayes
Stenlund
P1
22.9%
55.1%
P2
40.0%
53.3%
P3
44.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
30.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |