Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Hayes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayes
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
58.2% (359)
-9.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
47.1% (17)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
42.0% (150)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stenlund
Home
50.8% (313)
53.6% (261)
Away
48.2% (363)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Hayes
Stenlund
P1
52.3%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
51.5%
P3
48.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |