Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 72.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.0%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hayes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
54.4% (592)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
42.9% (14)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
44.1% (229)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stenlund
Home
58.0% (405)
50.7% (402)
Away
56.1% (433)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Hayes
Stenlund
P1
54.7%
56.5%
P2
55.7%
52.4%
P3
60.2%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |