Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Eller 51.5% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 90.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 81.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 89.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Hayes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Hayes
Eller
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Hayes
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Hayes
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
51.6% (705)
-14.5%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
57.9% (19)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
50.0% (60)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Hayes
Eller
Home
36.7% (354)
54.6% (383)
Away
35.8% (327)
48.9% (401)
By Period
Hayes
Eller
P1
33.6%
53.8%
P2
38.3%
52.5%
P3
37.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |