Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Eller 49.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 81.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 76.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Hayes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Hayes
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Hayes
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Hayes
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
51.1% (786)
-8.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
45.0% (80)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
43.6% (165)
+1.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Hayes
Eller
Home
43.5% (232)
51.2% (510)
Away
42.4% (375)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Hayes
Eller
P1
40.1%
50.7%
P2
44.8%
49.0%
P3
42.4%
48.3%
OT
80.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |