Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Hayes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hayes
Eller
Last 7: Hayes 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
53.8% (865)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
57.1% (21)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
52.6% (137)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Hayes
Eller
Home
50.8% (313)
56.4% (486)
Away
48.2% (363)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Hayes
Eller
P1
52.3%
55.1%
P2
47.7%
55.3%
P3
48.4%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |