Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs McLeod 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 84.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Hayes
McLeod
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Hayes
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
53.9% (534)
-5.2%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
59.1% (22)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
32.5% (77)
+1.8%
On even strength, McLeod has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
50.6% (237)
50.5% (275)
Away
47.3% (241)
52.2% (358)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
43.9%
50.5%
P2
47.3%
56.1%
P3
55.9%
47.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |