Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs McLeod 56.6% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 95.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 80.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 86.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hayes
McLeod
Last 8: Hayes 1-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Hayes
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Hayes
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
58.3% (859)
-15.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (28)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
53.0% (168)
-7.8%
On even strength, McLeod has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
43.5% (232)
55.3% (526)
Away
42.4% (375)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
40.1%
60.7%
P2
44.8%
55.9%
P3
42.4%
55.2%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |