Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs McLeod 59.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Hayes
McLeod
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
1
Hayes
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Hayes
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
61.5% (792)
-13.0%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
65.2% (23)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
55.6% (153)
+2.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
50.8% (313)
62.0% (460)
Away
48.2% (363)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
52.3%
61.5%
P2
47.7%
63.6%
P3
48.4%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |