Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs McLeod 58.0% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 92.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 77.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 93.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
22
(34 meetings)
12
22
Hayes
McLeod
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
4
Hayes
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
14
Hayes
McLeod
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
4
Hayes
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
59.2% (2,894)
-11.7%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
57.4% (101)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
53.5% (525)
-8.2%
On even strength, McLeod has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
48.1% (3,982)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
47.5%
58.7%
P2
47.6%
59.9%
P3
47.9%
56.3%
OT
54.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |