Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs McLeod 63.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hayes
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
64.8% (509)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
68.4% (19)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
65.3% (124)
+0.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
58.0% (405)
64.3% (308)
Away
56.1% (433)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
54.7%
62.9%
P2
55.7%
64.8%
P3
60.2%
67.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.9%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |