Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Hayes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Hayes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
9
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
47.8% (667)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
51.4% (181)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
36.0% (186)
-1.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zibanejad
Home
50.6% (237)
48.4% (529)
Away
47.3% (241)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Hayes
Zibanejad
P1
43.9%
46.2%
P2
47.3%
47.7%
P3
55.9%
44.8%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |