Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Hayes
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
50.9% (913)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
59.0% (39)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
37.5% (160)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zibanejad
Home
58.0% (405)
51.1% (536)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Hayes
Zibanejad
P1
54.7%
50.1%
P2
55.7%
47.3%
P3
60.2%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%