Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 74.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Hayes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Hayes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
6
Hayes
Zibanejad
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
54.0% (955)
-11.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
55.6% (243)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
35.0% (140)
+10.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zibanejad
Home
43.5% (232)
55.2% (656)
Away
42.4% (375)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Hayes
Zibanejad
P1
40.1%
56.3%
P2
44.8%
50.0%
P3
42.4%
51.2%
OT
80.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |