Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.5%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Hayes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hayes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayes
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
50.1% (1,051)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
58.3% (120)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
41.9% (227)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zibanejad
Home
50.8% (313)
49.0% (681)
Away
48.2% (363)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Hayes
Zibanejad
P1
52.3%
49.9%
P2
47.7%
47.6%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |