Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Dowd 49.1% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hayes
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
51.7% (644)
-19.8%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
0.0% (2)
+64.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.6% (221)
-41.6%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dowd
Home
30.6% (49)
48.6% (451)
Away
40.4% (57)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Hayes
Dowd
P1
22.9%
49.1%
P2
40.0%
47.3%
P3
44.4%
51.4%
Final 5 min
30.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%