Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-12.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayes
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
55.9% (245)
-13.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
0.0% (3)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
57.1% (7)
-11.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bjugstad
Home
43.5% (232)
53.2% (111)
Away
42.4% (375)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Hayes
Bjugstad
P1
40.1%
44.6%
P2
44.8%
61.4%
P3
42.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%