Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Hayes
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayes
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Hayes
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.4% (867)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
56.0% (25)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
40.7% (216)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bjugstad
Home
50.8% (313)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.2% (363)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Hayes
Bjugstad
P1
52.3%
48.7%
P2
47.7%
45.6%
P3
48.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |