Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hayes
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
48.9% (280)
-17.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
50.0% (6)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.2% (36)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bjugstad
Home
30.6% (49)
48.4% (190)
Away
40.4% (57)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Hayes
Bjugstad
P1
22.9%
41.7%
P2
40.0%
56.6%
P3
44.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
30.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%