Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Hischier 54.9% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 58.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
55.0% (1,107)
-23.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
63.1% (252)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.6% (149)
-43.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
30.6% (49)
56.5% (763)
Away
40.4% (57)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
22.9%
56.0%
P2
40.0%
57.6%
P3
44.4%
53.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |