Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Hischier 54.8% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
54.7% (887)
-21.4%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
66.5% (194)
-2.2%
On even strength, Hischier has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
30.6% (49)
56.6% (537)
Away
45.7% (46)
54.0% (652)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
24.2%
55.2%
P2
43.8%
57.2%
P3
46.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
31.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |