Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Hischier 52.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 84.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 71.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
33
(55 meetings)
22
33
Hayes
Hischier
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Hayes
Hischier
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
14
Hayes
Hischier
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
8
10
Hayes
Hischier
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
51.5% (8,379)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
59.7% (1,736)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
49.4% (903)
-4.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
47.5%
52.9%
P2
47.6%
52.4%
P3
47.9%
52.6%
OT
54.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |