Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.6%). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Hischier 56.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
56.1% (1,018)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
59.9% (289)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
51.3% (80)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
58.0% (405)
56.5% (706)
Away
56.1% (433)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
54.7%
54.8%
P2
55.7%
57.8%
P3
60.2%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |