Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Hischier 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Hayes
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
55.8% (1,228)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.1% (282)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
47.6% (267)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
50.5% (200)
56.5% (867)
Away
53.4% (253)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
58.8%
57.9%
P2
49.3%
55.9%
P3
48.0%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |