Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Hischier 53.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 70.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Hayes
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
52.4% (1,185)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
57.8% (315)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
57.1% (154)
+1.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
50.8% (313)
53.4% (844)
Away
48.2% (363)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
52.3%
49.7%
P2
47.7%
54.6%
P3
48.4%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
65.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |