Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Hischier 45.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 75.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayes
Hischier
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
2
Hayes
Hischier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
45.1% (879)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
50.0% (68)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
36.8% (19)
+1.8%
On even strength, Hayes has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
49.0% (531)
42.7% (499)
Away
49.6% (450)
48.0% (467)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
52.3%
48.2%
P2
45.8%
40.7%
P3
50.2%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |