Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Suter 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Suter 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.5%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Hayes
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Hayes
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
48.0% (421)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
50.0% (4)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
31.3% (32)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suter
Home
50.8% (313)
48.6% (183)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Hayes
Suter
P1
52.3%
47.1%
P2
47.7%
47.3%
P3
48.4%
46.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Pius Suter |