Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Suter 49.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 80.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 76.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Hayes
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayes
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
47.2% (299)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
58.9% (56)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
54.5% (22)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suter
Home
58.0% (405)
51.7% (172)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.3% (205)
By Period
Hayes
Suter
P1
54.7%
48.2%
P2
55.7%
49.3%
P3
60.2%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |