Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Hayes
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Hayes
Suter
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Hayes
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Hayes
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
1
Hayes
Suter
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
46.2% (3,208)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.9% (278)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
40.3% (303)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suter
Home
48.1% (3,982)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Hayes
Suter
P1
47.5%
46.6%
P2
47.6%
46.0%
P3
47.9%
46.1%
OT
54.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |