Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Suter 43.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Hayes
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Suter
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Hayes
Suter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
42.4% (740)
+9.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
48.0% (75)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
37.3% (59)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suter
Home
50.5% (200)
41.8% (407)
Away
53.4% (253)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Hayes
Suter
P1
58.8%
44.7%
P2
49.3%
41.5%
P3
48.0%
41.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |