Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Hintz 57.8% (-21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 50.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Hayes
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
58.9% (514)
-25.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
57.6% (158)
+6.7%
On even strength, Hintz has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Hintz is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hintz
Home
30.6% (49)
59.8% (326)
Away
45.7% (46)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Hayes
Hintz
P1
24.2%
57.9%
P2
43.8%
59.8%
P3
46.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
31.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |