Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Hintz 52.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Hayes
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
52.9% (526)
-10.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
57.4% (108)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
42.5% (40)
+2.7%
On power play, Hintz has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hintz
Home
43.5% (232)
53.8% (329)
Away
42.4% (375)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Hayes
Hintz
P1
40.1%
55.6%
P2
44.8%
53.0%
P3
42.4%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |