Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Hintz 58.0% (-23.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 69.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 65.7%
Neutral zone
Hintz 54.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hayes
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
58.7% (530)
-26.8%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
59.4% (170)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
66.7% (27)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hintz
Home
30.6% (49)
60.2% (354)
Away
40.4% (57)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Hayes
Hintz
P1
22.9%
58.4%
P2
40.0%
59.8%
P3
44.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
30.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |