Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Hintz 53.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 67.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Hayes
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hayes
Hintz
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Hayes
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
4
Hayes
Hintz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
53.8% (3,722)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
55.4% (567)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
52.9% (221)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hintz
Home
48.1% (3,982)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Hayes
Hintz
P1
47.5%
55.5%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
47.9%
52.7%
OT
54.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |